Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.203394 0.217476 0.232289 0.249075 0.267620 0.287539 0.310630
2025-05-25 0.173281 0.193641 0.216453 0.244110 0.277011 0.315255 0.363600
2025-06-01 0.153962 0.177656 0.205469 0.240975 0.285764 0.341326 0.417011
2025-06-08 0.140185 0.165794 0.196962 0.238427 0.293316 0.365279 0.470001
2025-06-15 0.132152 0.159672 0.194250 0.241986 0.308040 0.399296 0.540993
2025-06-22 0.122087 0.149867 0.185611 0.236365 0.309059 0.413768 0.585267
2025-06-29 0.112446 0.139759 0.175568 0.227575 0.304184 0.418428 0.614275
2025-07-06 0.104625 0.131467 0.167247 0.220270 0.300391 0.423762 0.644571
2025-07-13 0.101327 0.128998 0.166629 0.223783 0.312911 0.455811 0.726266
2025-07-20 0.098211 0.126525 0.165740 0.226675 0.324558 0.487710 0.814057
2025-07-27 0.094903 0.123547 0.163866 0.227804 0.333318 0.515630 0.900045
2025-08-03 0.091269 0.119879 0.160711 0.226616 0.337975 0.536666 0.976377
2025-08-10 0.087440 0.115831 0.156893 0.224313 0.340904 0.555706 1.055210
2025-08-17 0.083123 0.110889 0.151490 0.219115 0.338374 0.564218 1.112789
2025-08-24 0.079697 0.107097 0.147628 0.216156 0.339552 0.580269 1.193812
2025-08-31 0.076710 0.103811 0.144345 0.213891 0.341714 0.598575 1.286425
2025-09-07 0.075164 0.102603 0.144212 0.216920 0.354065 0.640388 1.459068
2025-09-14 0.072015 0.098804 0.139755 0.212091 0.350664 0.646746 1.528666
2025-09-21 0.068494 0.094296 0.133956 0.204533 0.341189 0.637923 1.547808
2025-09-28 0.065447 0.090419 0.129021 0.198241 0.333760 0.633032 1.579412
2025-10-05 0.064475 0.089738 0.129255 0.201268 0.345630 0.676295 1.796077
2025-10-12 0.063448 0.088919 0.129208 0.203758 0.356622 0.719453 2.036193
2025-10-19 0.062189 0.087678 0.128386 0.204730 0.364445 0.755919 2.271570